After 2023, Are We Back to Normal?
-A year ago, we published an article under the tongue-in-cheek title of “That’s Alright, It Was Only Money.” We wanted to update our understanding of historical performance results for traditional investment portfolios after the disastrous conclusion of the year 2022. We used the S&P 500 Index as the benchmark for stocks and Barclay’s Aggregate Bond Index as the benchmark for fixed income. In 2022, the former ended the year with a return of minus 13.01%, and the latter ended the year with a return of minus 19.44%. That meant our prototypical investment portfolio, invested 50% in stocks and 50% in bonds, saw a blended investment return of minus 16.23%. At the time, we pointed out that the aggregate performance for 2022 was actually worse than the aggregate performance for the Great Recession year 2008, which was “only” minus 15.88%.
And now, after another year in the books, but with quite different results in 2023, we ask the question, “Are we back to normal?” It’s probably a rhetorical question, and it begs a more specific question: “What is normal, anyway?” The S&P 500 return in 2023 was 24.23%, and the Barclays Aggregate Bond Index return was 5.53%, resulting in a blended return of 14.88%. It was a great year for investment portfolios holding traditional asset classes! The improved numbers should make everyone feel a little better off. Does it give us greater confidence to make the argument that over many years, a prudent investor strategy results in positive returns? Let’s take a look at the actual numbers.
That’s Alright – It Was Only Money (Putting 2022 in the Rearview Mirror)
-We’ve been saying for years that, when it comes to investments, charities should focus on the long-term picture. There are good years in the markets and bad years in the markets, but, with “prudent” investments, the long-term outcomes have been consistently positive. Whether it be the endowment assets of well-established organizations, or the investment portfolios of gift annuity programs and individual charitable remainder trusts, the general rule is to look at the bigger picture. But specific and dramatic swings in the investment markets – the stock market in particular – can have a chilling effect on donors with stock portfolios held over an extended period of time.
What do we say to the donors who have seen their investments lose significant value over the past 12 months or longer? And even within the organization, how do we respond to the more cautious voices among us who are spooked by double-digit declines in market values? We thought it would be helpful to take a look at the most recent investment performance measurements of mainstream investments.
Overcoming Challenges of Endowment Fundraising
-You work at a nonprofit that has an endowment. You know you should be part of the solution to grow it. Or perhaps you work at a nonprofit that doesn’t have an endowment, but you think it’s a missed opportunity that you want to rectify. What’s holding you back? What institutional decisions are making your job harder? How can you get on with the business of closing transformational gifts to your charity?
The intention here is to demystify endowments and set out some best practices for fundraising for them. This article is primarily aimed at fundraisers but does contain ideas that will require coordination and implementation from other areas of your charity.